SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 54.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 2-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
22.54% ( 0.63) | 22.63% ( 0.17) | 54.83% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 56.65% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.03% ( -0.04) | 42.96% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.63% ( -0.04) | 65.36% ( 0.04) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.11% ( 0.55) | 32.89% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.53% ( 0.61) | 69.46% ( -0.61) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.42% ( -0.28) | 15.58% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.46% ( -0.53) | 44.54% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 2-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.39% Total : 22.54% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 6.1% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 5.49% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.84% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.65% Total : 54.83% |
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