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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
61.39% ( 0.25) | 19.73% ( 0.01) | 18.88% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 61.07% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.51% ( -0.49) | 34.49% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.58% ( -0.55) | 56.42% ( 0.55) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.1% ( -0.08) | 10.89% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.96% ( -0.18) | 35.04% ( 0.18) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% ( -0.55) | 31.47% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.15% ( -0.65) | 67.85% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.15)1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 7.2% 3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.97% Total : 61.39% | 1-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.73% | 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.42% Total : 18.88% |
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