Dunfermline
3 - 1
Inverness

Murray (23'), Dow (78'), McManus (84')
Wilson (45'), Edwards (81'), McManus (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Todorov (2')
McKay (88')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

The Match

Match Report

Caley had raced into the lead after just 90 seconds.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
47.44%	25.39%	27.16%

Both teams to score 52.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.26%

50.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.37%

72.63%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.6%

21.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.61%

54.38%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.79%

33.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.18%

69.81%

Score Analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 47.44%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 27.16%

Draw 25.39%

Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.31% 2-0 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 4.79% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.43% Total : 47.44%	1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 7.83% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.32% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.89% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.44% Total : 27.16%