Kilmarnock
0 - 3
Dunfermline

Dicker (51'), Russell (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Murray (56'), Murray (73', 83')
Whittaker (90+1')

Build‑up

Alex Dyer: 'Kilmarnock youngsters did well against Dunfermline'

The Match

Match Report

The Pars put three goals past their Premiership hosts.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
43.94%	25.38%	30.68%

Both teams to score 54.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.19%

48.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.09%

70.91%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.82%

22.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.42%

55.58%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.37%

29.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.33%

65.67%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 43.94%

Dunfermline Athletic 30.68%

Draw 25.38%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 9.9% 2-1 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.94%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 7.99% 1-2 @ 7.32% 0-2 @ 4.86% 1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.43% Total : 30.68%