Morton
1 - 0
Alloa

Salkeld (10')
McPake (35')
McPake (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hetherington (32'), Trouten (45'), Taggart (51'), Robertson (64')
Hetherington (60')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Greenock Morton and Alloa Athletic.

The Match

Match Report

Alloa's Steven Hetherington and Morton's on-loan Rangers winger Josh McPake were both sent off in the second half.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 63.95%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Alloa Athletic
63.95%	19.97%	16.08%

Both teams to score 54.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.3%

40.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.91%

63.08%

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.94%

12.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.43%

37.56%

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.62%

38.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.87%

75.13%

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 63.95%

Alloa Athletic 16.08%

Draw 19.97%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Alloa Athletic
2-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 6.99% 4-0 @ 3.86% 4-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.35% 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-0 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.71% Total : 63.95%	1-1 @ 9.38% 2-2 @ 4.75% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.97%	1-2 @ 4.49% 0-1 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.52% 1-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.09% Total : 16.08%