Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.