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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2020 at 3pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
AA

Livingston
2 - 1
Alloa

Forrest (46'), Mullin (50')
(45+1'), Taylor-Sinclair (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thomson (31')
(76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
LivingstonDrawAlloa Athletic
64.46%20.37%15.17%
Both teams to score 50.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.65%44.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.27%66.73%
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.98%13.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.43%39.56%
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.19%41.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.73%78.27%
Score Analysis
    Livingston 64.45%
    Alloa Athletic 15.17%
    Draw 20.37%
LivingstonDrawAlloa Athletic
2-0 @ 11.31%
1-0 @ 11.09%
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 7.69%
3-1 @ 6.7%
4-0 @ 3.92%
4-1 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 2.92%
5-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.49%
5-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 64.45%
1-1 @ 9.68%
0-0 @ 5.44%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 20.37%
0-1 @ 4.75%
1-2 @ 4.22%
0-2 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.25%
1-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 15.17%


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