Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.