Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.19%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.