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HL
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Tynecastle Park
RR

Hearts
3 - 1
Raith Rovers

Wighton (2' pen., 40' pen., 87')
Roberts (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Duku (54')
Benedictus (2'), Tait (32'), Davidson (89')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Hearts and Raith Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.19%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawRaith Rovers
51.19%23.5%25.31%
Both teams to score 56.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.94%44.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.56%66.44%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.73%17.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.41%47.59%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.87%31.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.54%67.46%
Score Analysis
    Hearts 51.19%
    Raith Rovers 25.31%
    Draw 23.5%
HeartsDrawRaith Rovers
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 8.29%
3-1 @ 5.67%
3-0 @ 4.86%
3-2 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 2.49%
4-0 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 51.19%
1-1 @ 11.01%
2-2 @ 5.65%
0-0 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 6.43%
0-1 @ 6.27%
0-2 @ 3.66%
1-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 25.31%


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