Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 15.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.