Inverness
1 - 0
Ayr

McGinty (54' og.)
Carson (70'), Deas (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fjortoft (40'), Muirhead (75')

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

The visitors were depleted by several positive Covid-19 cases.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 22.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle in this match.

Result
Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Ayr United
51.82%	25.8%	22.37%

Both teams to score 46.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.99%

56.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.9%

77.1%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.32%

21.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.19%

54.8%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.65%

40.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.03%

76.97%

Score Analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 51.82%

Ayr United 22.37%

Draw 25.79%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 13.37% 2-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.06% Total : 51.82%	1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.79%	0-1 @ 7.94% 1-2 @ 5.51% 0-2 @ 3.6% 1-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.27% 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.3% Total : 22.37%