Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
