SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.61%) and 0-2 (5.4%). The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Airdrieonians |
37.03% ( 0.44) | 23.38% ( 0) | 39.59% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 63.8% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.17% ( 0.01) | 37.82% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.92% ( 0.01) | 60.07% ( -0.02) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.27% ( 0.22) | 20.72% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.66% ( 0.35) | 53.34% ( -0.36) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.48% ( -0.2) | 19.51% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.6% ( -0.32) | 51.4% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 37.03% | 1-1 @ 10.4% 2-2 @ 6.69% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.29% Total : 39.59% |
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