SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Hearts |
25.78% ( 0.04) | 23.1% ( 0.01) | 51.12% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.84% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.19% ( -0.02) | 41.81% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.79% ( -0.02) | 64.21% ( 0.02) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% ( 0.02) | 29.57% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.4% ( 0.03) | 65.6% ( -0.03) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.54% ( -0.03) | 16.46% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.85% ( -0.05) | 46.15% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 25.78% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.09% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 51.12% |
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