SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Airdrieonians |
41.3% ( -0.19) | 24.34% ( -0.2) | 34.36% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 59.73% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.06% ( 1.02) | 42.93% ( -1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.66% ( 1.01) | 65.33% ( -1.01) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( 0.35) | 20.91% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.36% ( 0.54) | 53.63% ( -0.54) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% ( 0.71) | 24.47% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.08% ( 0.98) | 58.91% ( -0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.75% Total : 41.3% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.24)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.36% |
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