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Scottish Cup | Third Round
Apr 3, 2021 at 3pm UK
North Lodge Park
ML

Formartine
0 - 5
Motherwell


Lawrence (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Long (34'), Roberts (41', 52'), Cole (63'), Campbell (76')
Roberts (28')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 70.91%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Formartine United had a probability of 12.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a Formartine United win it was 2-1 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
Formartine UnitedDrawMotherwell
12.22%16.88%70.91%
Both teams to score 54.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.18%34.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.21%56.79%
Formartine United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.98%40.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.33%76.67%
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.29%8.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.03%29.97%
Score Analysis
    Formartine United 12.22%
    Motherwell 70.9%
    Draw 16.88%
Formartine UnitedDrawMotherwell
2-1 @ 3.57%
1-0 @ 3.19%
2-0 @ 1.46%
3-2 @ 1.33%
3-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 12.22%
1-1 @ 7.79%
2-2 @ 4.35%
0-0 @ 3.49%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 16.88%
0-2 @ 10.38%
1-2 @ 9.51%
0-1 @ 8.51%
0-3 @ 8.45%
1-3 @ 7.74%
0-4 @ 5.16%
1-4 @ 4.72%
2-3 @ 3.54%
0-5 @ 2.52%
1-5 @ 2.31%
2-4 @ 2.16%
2-5 @ 1.06%
0-6 @ 1.02%
1-6 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 70.9%

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