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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 33
Feb 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
Fir Park Stadium
SJ

Motherwell
0 - 3
St Johnstone


Long (37')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Melamed (19', 49' pen.), Kerr (45')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawSt Johnstone
34.2%26.27%39.52%
Both teams to score 53.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.44%51.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.64%73.35%
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31%28.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49%64.51%
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4%25.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52%60.48%
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 34.2%
    St Johnstone 39.52%
    Draw 26.27%
MotherwellDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 9.17%
2-1 @ 7.8%
2-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.2%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.34%
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 10%
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-2 @ 6.82%
1-3 @ 3.87%
0-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 39.52%

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