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HL
Scottish Cup | Semi-Finals
Apr 16, 2022 at 12.15pm UK
Hampden Park
HL

Hearts
2 - 1
Hibernian

Simms (16'), Kingsley (21')
Cochrane (70'), Haring (82'), Moore (84'), Gordon (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cadden (22')
Newell (11'), Clarke (25'), Scott (48'), Campbell (82'), Hanlon (82')
Newell (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Hibernian 4-0 St Johnstone
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Next Game: Hibernian vs. Clyde
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: Hearts 2-0 Hibernian

When it comes to cup semi-finals, there is sometimes the perception that the underdog can raise their game or shake off poor form. However, in this instance, we can only back Hearts to come through with flying colours to set up a showdown with one of the Glasgow giants. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 25.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Hibernian win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawHibernian
49.32%25.47%25.21%
Both teams to score 50.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.6%52.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.92%74.07%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74%21.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.82%54.18%
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.29%35.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.52%72.48%
Score Analysis
    Hearts 49.31%
    Hibernian 25.21%
    Draw 25.46%
HeartsDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 9.1%
3-1 @ 4.84%
3-0 @ 4.7%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.87%
4-0 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 49.31%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 7.59%
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 7.82%
1-2 @ 6.23%
0-2 @ 4.03%
1-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 25.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hearts 3-1 Hibernian
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 1-1 Hearts
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-0 Livingston
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 4-2 St Mirren
Saturday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Dundee Utd 2-2 Hearts
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-0 Aberdeen
Wednesday, March 2 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 3-1 Hibernian
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 1-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 3-1 Hibernian
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-2 Hibernian
Sunday, March 13 at 12.30pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Hibernian 0-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 0-0 Hibernian
Wednesday, March 2 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership


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