When it comes to cup semi-finals, there is sometimes the perception that the underdog can raise their game or shake off poor form. However, in this instance, we can only back Hearts to come through with flying colours to set up a showdown with one of the Glasgow giants. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 25.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Hibernian win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Hibernian
49.32%	25.47%	25.21%

Both teams to score 50.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.6%

52.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.92%

74.07%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.74%

21.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.82%

54.18%

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.29%

35.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.52%

72.48%

Score Analysis

Hearts 49.31%

Hibernian 25.21%

Draw 25.46%

Hearts	Draw	Hibernian
1-0 @ 11.75% 2-1 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 9.1% 3-1 @ 4.84% 3-0 @ 4.7% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.42% Total : 49.31%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 7.59% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.46%	0-1 @ 7.82% 1-2 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.96% Total : 25.21%