Hearts are the stronger of the two teams, and that is reflected by their league positions and the fact that they have won both of their previous encounters this season. The Jambos would see winning this competition as a perfect way to wrap up what has been an excellent campaign, and with the home advantage, they should be able to secure a place in the final four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 16.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	St Mirren
61.95%	21.62%	16.43%

Both teams to score 49.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.63%

47.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.41%

69.59%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.26%

14.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.03%

42.97%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.02%

41.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.58%

78.42%

Score Analysis

Hearts 61.95%

St Mirren 16.43%

Draw 21.62%

Hearts	Draw	St Mirren
1-0 @ 11.85% 2-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 6.28% 4-0 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.73% 5-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.31% 5-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.42% Total : 61.95%	1-1 @ 10.28% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.62%	0-1 @ 5.37% 1-2 @ 4.46% 0-2 @ 2.33% 1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.73% Total : 16.43%