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HL
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5
May 14, 2022 at 12.15pm UK
Tynecastle Park
RL

Hearts
1 - 3
Rangers

Haring (24')
Simms (16')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Itten (33'), Lowry (45+1'), McKinnon (81')
Lowry (53'), King (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

We said: Hearts 1-1 Rangers

With future games in mind, there is every chance that there will be changes aplenty, although it is unclear which team will benefit from that. All things considered, we have to back a low-scoring draw, Hearts potentially netting a late equaliser when Rangers begin to think more about Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 49%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawRangers
25.77% (0.698 0.7) 25.23% (0.534 0.53) 49% (-1.229 -1.23)
Both teams to score 51.84% (-1 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95% (-1.63 -1.63)51.05% (1.632 1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (-1.45 -1.45)72.9% (1.45 1.45)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.5% (-0.29599999999999 -0.3)34.5% (0.29799999999999 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.78% (-0.312 -0.31)71.22% (0.315 0.31)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15% (-1.161 -1.16)20.85% (1.164 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.46% (-1.856 -1.86)53.54% (1.857 1.86)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 25.77%
    Rangers 48.99%
    Draw 25.23%
HeartsDrawRangers
1-0 @ 7.66% (0.431 0.43)
2-1 @ 6.39% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.07% (0.198 0.2)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.45% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 25.77%
1-1 @ 12% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 7.19% (0.46 0.46)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 11.27% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 8.84% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.252 -0.25)
0-3 @ 4.62% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 48.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Motherwell 2-1 Hearts
Wednesday, May 11 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 4-1 Hearts
Saturday, May 7 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 0-0 Ross County
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 2-3 Hearts
Sunday, April 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-1 Hibernian
Saturday, April 16 at 12.15pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Hearts 3-1 Hibernian
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 4-1 Ross County
Wednesday, May 11 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Dundee Utd
Sunday, May 8 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 3-1 RB Leipzig
Thursday, May 5 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Celtic 1-1 Rangers
Sunday, May 1 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-0 Rangers
Thursday, April 28 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Motherwell 1-3 Rangers
Saturday, April 23 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership


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