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Thursday, March 28
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Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Apr 18, 2021 at 12.15pm UK
Stair Park
HL

Stranraer
0 - 4
Hibernian


Millar (63'), Hilton (68'), Robertson (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Doidge (37'), Nisbet (64'), Boyle (71', 84' pen.)
McGinn (54'), Boyle (67')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 69.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Stranraer had a probability of 12.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Stranraer win it was 1-0 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
StranraerDrawHibernian
12.45%18.13%69.42%
Both teams to score 50.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.71%40.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.33%62.66%
Stranraer Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.74%43.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.49%79.51%
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.5%10.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.84%34.16%
Score Analysis
    Stranraer 12.45%
    Hibernian 69.41%
    Draw 18.13%
StranraerDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 3.81%
2-1 @ 3.59%
2-0 @ 1.59%
3-2 @ 1.13%
3-1 @ 1%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 12.45%
1-1 @ 8.58%
0-0 @ 4.54%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 18.13%
0-2 @ 11.53%
0-1 @ 10.23%
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-3 @ 8.67%
1-3 @ 7.27%
0-4 @ 4.89%
1-4 @ 4.09%
2-3 @ 3.04%
0-5 @ 2.2%
1-5 @ 1.85%
2-4 @ 1.72%
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 69.41%

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