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CL
Scottish League Cup | Second Round
Aug 15, 2021 at 3pm UK
Celtic Park
HL

Celtic
3 - 2
Hearts

Edouard (29'), Welsh (34'), Furuhashi (63')
Edouard (20'), Welsh (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Boyce (57' pen.), McEneff (90+2')
Halkett (43'), Haring (51'), Boyce (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.56%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawHearts
46.54%22.46%31%
Both teams to score 65.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.92%35.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.92%57.08%
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.4%15.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.42%44.58%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35%22.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.72%56.28%
Score Analysis
    Celtic 46.54%
    Hearts 31%
    Draw 22.46%
CelticDrawHearts
2-1 @ 9.06%
1-0 @ 6.56%
2-0 @ 6.1%
3-1 @ 5.61%
3-2 @ 4.17%
3-0 @ 3.78%
4-1 @ 2.61%
4-2 @ 1.94%
4-0 @ 1.75%
5-1 @ 0.97%
4-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 46.54%
1-1 @ 9.75%
2-2 @ 6.73%
0-0 @ 3.53%
3-3 @ 2.06%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.46%
1-2 @ 7.24%
0-1 @ 5.25%
0-2 @ 3.9%
1-3 @ 3.58%
2-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 31%

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