Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 55.61%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 23.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.76%) and 1-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.