SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Annan Athletic |
48.4% ( -0.26) | 23.6% ( 0.2) | 28% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.09% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.64% ( -0.87) | 42.36% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.23% ( -0.88) | 64.77% ( 0.88) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.32% ( -0.43) | 17.68% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.69% ( -0.75) | 48.31% ( 0.75) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% ( -0.41) | 28.22% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.08% ( -0.52) | 63.92% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.78% Total : 48.4% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 28% |
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