Hamilton
2 - 1
Ayr

Ogboe (19'), Trafford (36')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Moffat (68')
Zanatta (25'), Chalmers (56')

Data Analysis

Brian Rice delighted with "really important" win over Ayr United

The Match

Match Report

Marios Ogkmpoe and Charlie Trafford were on target.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 1-0 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Hamilton Academical	Draw	Ayr United
22.87%	23.28%	53.85%

Both teams to score 54.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.52%

45.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.19%

67.81%

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.02%

33.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.34%

70.66%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.18%

16.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.2%

46.8%

Score Analysis

Hamilton Academical 22.87%

Ayr United 53.84%

Draw 23.27%

Hamilton Academical	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 6.17% 2-1 @ 5.94% 2-0 @ 3.33% 3-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.2% Total : 22.87%	1-1 @ 10.99% 0-0 @ 5.72% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.27%	0-1 @ 10.18% 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-2 @ 9.08% 1-3 @ 5.83% 0-3 @ 5.4% 2-3 @ 3.14% 1-4 @ 2.6% 0-4 @ 2.41% 2-4 @ 1.4% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.84%