Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 54.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
