SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 37.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Partick Thistle |
38.12% ( -0.14) | 24.07% ( 0.02) | 37.8% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 61.21% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.79% ( -0.09) | 41.21% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.4% ( -0.09) | 63.6% ( 0.09) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.32% ( -0.11) | 21.68% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.17% ( -0.16) | 54.83% ( 0.16) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.16% ( 0.02) | 21.84% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.93% ( 0.03) | 55.07% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.12% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.8% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
