SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 48.21%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosenborg | Draw | Hearts |
48.21% ( 0.18) | 24.35% ( -0.06) | 27.44% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 56.1% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.89% ( 0.2) | 46.11% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.59% ( 0.19) | 68.41% ( -0.19) |
| Rosenborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.79% ( 0.15) | 19.21% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.1% ( 0.25) | 50.9% ( -0.25) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.43% ( 0.02) | 30.57% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.2% ( 0.02) | 66.8% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosenborg | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 48.21% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 27.44% |
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