SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
35.7% ( 0.02) | 25.85% ( -0.01) | 38.45% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.71% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.46% ( 0.04) | 49.54% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.43% ( 0.04) | 71.57% ( -0.04) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( 0.03) | 26.81% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.9% ( 0.04) | 62.1% ( -0.04) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.74% ( 0.01) | 25.25% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.99% ( 0.02) | 60.01% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.87% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.7% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.58% Total : 38.45% |
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