SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Queen's Park |
48.71% ( -0.73) | 23.58% ( 0.26) | 27.7% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 58.91% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.5% ( -0.84) | 42.5% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.09% ( -0.85) | 64.9% ( 0.84) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.39% ( -0.59) | 17.61% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.8% ( -1.04) | 48.19% ( 1.04) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.5% ( -0.1) | 28.5% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.72% ( -0.12) | 64.27% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.8% Total : 48.71% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 27.7% |
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