SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
43.09% ( 0.68) | 24.26% ( 0.03) | 32.64% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 59.48% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.97% ( -0.35) | 43.03% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.57% ( -0.35) | 65.43% ( 0.35) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.86% ( 0.16) | 20.14% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.59% ( 0.25) | 52.41% ( -0.25) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( -0.59) | 25.52% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.62% ( -0.81) | 60.37% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.64% |
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