SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Aberdeen |
43.43% ( -0.66) | 24.7% ( -0.08) | 31.87% ( 0.74) |
| Both teams to score 57.64% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.69% ( 0.65) | 45.31% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.35% ( 0.62) | 67.65% ( -0.61) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.07% ( -0.03) | 20.93% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.33% ( -0.05) | 53.67% ( 0.05) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% ( 0.8) | 27.1% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.51% ( 1.03) | 62.49% ( -1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 43.43% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.87% |
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