Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest Ross County win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Livingston in this match.