Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
