Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 68.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 12.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.91%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Cowdenbeath win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
