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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3
May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
AL

Livingston
1 - 2
Aberdeen

Emmanuel-Thomas (80')
Sibbald (34'), Pittman (36'), Bartley (54'), Fitzwater (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hendry (52'), Hedges (74')
McLennan (34'), Considine (77'), Hayes (89'), MacKenzie (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 35.34%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (12.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
LivingstonDrawAberdeen
35.34%30.02%34.64%
Both teams to score 42.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.84%65.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16%84%
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11%34.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38%71.62%
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.64%35.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88%72.11%
Score Analysis
    Livingston 35.33%
    Aberdeen 34.64%
    Draw 30.01%
LivingstonDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 12.98%
2-1 @ 7.11%
2-0 @ 6.84%
3-1 @ 2.5%
3-0 @ 2.4%
3-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 35.33%
1-1 @ 13.5%
0-0 @ 12.33%
2-2 @ 3.7%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 30.01%
0-1 @ 12.82%
1-2 @ 7.02%
0-2 @ 6.67%
1-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 34.64%

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