Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 60.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 16.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.69%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
