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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bellslea Park
KL

Fraserburgh
1 - 3
Kilmarnock

Butcher (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Shaw (6'), Murray (17'), Lafferty (70')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Fraserburgh and Kilmarnock.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Fraserburgh 0-1 Cowdenbeath
Tuesday, August 10 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-1 Kilmarnock
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 71.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Fraserburgh had a probability of 11.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.33%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for a Fraserburgh win it was 1-0 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
FraserburghDrawKilmarnock
11.3% (-1.404 -1.4) 17.4% (-0.8 -0.8) 71.3% (2.198 2.2)
Both teams to score 49.52% (-1.77 -1.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.01% (0.029000000000003 0.03)39.99% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.65% (0.032000000000004 0.03)62.35% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Fraserburgh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.99% (-2.319 -2.32)45.01% (2.315 2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.06% (-1.912 -1.91)80.94% (1.906 1.91)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.05% (0.55 0.55)9.95% (-0.556 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.09% (1.264 1.26)32.91% (-1.269 -1.27)
Score Analysis
    Fraserburgh 11.3%
    Kilmarnock 71.29%
    Draw 17.4%
FraserburghDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 3.58% (-0.243 -0.24)
2-1 @ 3.29% (-0.368 -0.37)
2-0 @ 1.43% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-2 @ 1.01% (-0.159 -0.16)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 11.3%
1-1 @ 8.25% (-0.352 -0.35)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.324 -0.32)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 17.4%
0-2 @ 11.92% (0.54 0.54)
0-1 @ 10.33% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 9.52% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-3 @ 9.17% (0.619 0.62)
1-3 @ 7.32% (0.043 0.04)
0-4 @ 5.29% (0.474 0.47)
1-4 @ 4.22% (0.124 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-5 @ 2.44% (0.271 0.27)
1-5 @ 1.95% (0.102 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.69% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-6 @ 0.94% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 71.29%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Fraserburgh 0-1 Cowdenbeath
Tuesday, August 10 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Fraserburgh 2-4 Montrose
Saturday, April 3 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Fraserburgh 2-3 Ross County U21s
Tuesday, August 6 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Fraserburgh 0-3 Rangers
Wednesday, January 31 at 7.30pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Spartans 1-2 Fraserburgh
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Falkirk 4-1 Fraserburgh
Saturday, November 28 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-1 Kilmarnock
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 Arbroath
Friday, April 22 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 2-1 Kilmarnock
Friday, April 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Dunfermline
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 1-1 Kilmarnock
Friday, April 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 Partick
Saturday, March 26 at 3pm in Scottish Championship


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