Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
