Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 53.17%. A win for East Kilbride had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest East Kilbride win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.
