Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
