Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
