Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Falkirk had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Falkirk win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
