Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
