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Scottish League One | Gameweek 21
Jan 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Falkirk Stadium
D

Falkirk
6 - 2
Dumbarton

Dowds (8', 45', 88'), Morrison (13'), Taylor-Sinclair (54'), Keena (72')
Telfer (38'), Dowds (38')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Paton (56'), Carswell (66' pen.)
Carswell (38'), Geggan (55'), Orsi (78'), Buchanan (82')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Falkirk and Dumbarton.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 59.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
FalkirkDrawDumbarton
59.02%22.09%18.9%
Both teams to score 52.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.61%45.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.27%67.73%
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.97%15.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.49%43.51%
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.11%37.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.34%74.66%
Score Analysis
    Falkirk 59.01%
    Dumbarton 18.9%
    Draw 22.09%
FalkirkDrawDumbarton
1-0 @ 10.79%
2-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 6.46%
3-1 @ 6.27%
4-0 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 3.04%
4-1 @ 2.97%
4-2 @ 1.44%
5-0 @ 1.16%
5-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 59.01%
1-1 @ 10.47%
0-0 @ 5.69%
2-2 @ 4.82%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.09%
0-1 @ 5.53%
1-2 @ 5.08%
0-2 @ 2.68%
1-3 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 18.9%

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