Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 59.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.