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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
36.27% ( -0.06) | 24.84% ( -0.11) | 38.88% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 58.29% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.04% ( 0.49) | 44.95% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.69% ( 0.47) | 67.3% ( -0.47) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.66% ( 0.19) | 24.34% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.27% ( 0.28) | 58.73% ( -0.27) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% ( 0.31) | 22.96% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.25% ( 0.45) | 56.74% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.27% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.88% |
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