Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alloa Athletic in this match.
