SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 62.81%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Montrose win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Montrose |
62.81% ( 0.03) | 20.02% ( -0.01) | 17.17% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.47% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.12% ( -0.01) | 38.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.81% ( -0.01) | 61.19% ( 0.01) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.17% ( 0) | 11.82% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.93% ( 0.01) | 37.07% ( -0.01) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.04% ( -0.03) | 35.96% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.26% ( -0.03) | 72.73% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.77% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 4.02% Total : 62.81% | 1-1 @ 9.28% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.02% | 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 17.17% |
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