SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.55%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Montrose |
28.93% ( 0.47) | 22.04% ( -0.01) | 49.03% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 65.51% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.77% ( 0.37) | 34.23% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.88% ( 0.42) | 56.12% ( -0.41) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( 0.48) | 23.46% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.53% ( 0.69) | 57.47% ( -0.69) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.59% ( -0.01) | 14.42% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.66% ( -0.03) | 42.34% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.93% | 1-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 5.94% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.03% |
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