Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
