Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.
